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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

BitcoinOne-OffCrypto6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Hal Finney
Hal Finney 3.3%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters

77

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale
Feb 24, 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM
Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Hal Finney3%

Rules

If any of the listed are confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto by the close date, their market will resolve YES.

Manifold Markets
  • Otherwise they will resolve NO.
  • There can be more than 1 resolved YES if Satoshi is proven to be multiple people.
  • This will resolve based on either reporting from a reputable source (major news organization) and preferably the Satoshi Nakamoto Wikipedia page would also be updated.
  • If I'm missing anyone, feel free to comment and I will add them.

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Bitcoin above ___ on June 12?

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What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

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When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

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Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If any of the listed are confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto by the close date, their market will resolve YES.

Manifold Markets
  • Otherwise they will resolve NO.
  • There can be more than 1 resolved YES if Satoshi is proven to be multiple people.
  • This will resolve based on either reporting from a reputable source (major news organization) and preferably the Satoshi Nakamoto Wikipedia page would also be updated.
  • If I'm missing anyone, feel free to comment and I will add them.