Nothing Ever Happens: October
3.0 pts (24h)BitcoinOne-OffCommoditiesPoliticsUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / UkraineEuropeFed29d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Nothing 92%+3.0pt
Nothing 92%+3.0ptMarket quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$358.8
Liquidity
$13.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
90.0% / 93.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 11:33 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_Oct_26.pdf
