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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. China
  3. Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

5.0% (24h)One-OffChina6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Dong Jun
Dong Jun 14%+0.5%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$934

Liquidity

$103.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.5% / 11.1%

Spread

217.1%

Wide spread
7d Change

-2.0%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 29, 26, 8:42 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Dong Jun14%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
  • 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
  • Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
  • A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
  • 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
  • Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
  • A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.