PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Zhang Shengmin 7%-0.6ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$45.3
Liquidity
$102.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadComments
19
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 8:41 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
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PolymarketWill Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping be in Taiwan anytime through 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
- 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
- Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
- A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
Open markets
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- 30°C+36.5pt87.3%
- 31°C-5.0pt11.8%
- 32°C-0.5pt1%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $53.9K
- 24h Vol
- $46K
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt72.3%
- Yes-0.5pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $449.8K
- 24h Vol
- $34.9K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $28.8K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31-0.2pt98%
- December 31-0.6pt98%
- September 30-0.1pt95%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $27.4K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-2.5pt67.3%
- Moonshot-0.5pt26.7%
- Z.ai+1.1pt3%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026??
- Polymarket prices Zhang Shengmin at 7% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? resolve?
- Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.