PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDong Jun 10%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$118.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.4% / 4.3%
Spread
79.2%
Wide spread7d Change
-4.4%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 8:41 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Dong Jun10%
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
- 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
- Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
- A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.