FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$274.6
Low liquidityTraders
3
Comments
1
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
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PredictItRules
This market concerns whether Xi Jinping will leave office at any time during the calendar year 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) for resolution is an official announcement by the Xinhua News Agency confirming that Xi Jinping no longer holds any of the following roles: General Secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC), President of the People’s Republic of China, or Chairman of the Central Military Commission.
- The Market Period is from 2026-01-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-12-31 23:59:59 UTC inclusive.
- If the PDS confirms that during this period he ceases to hold any of these roles (due to resignation, removal, death, incapacity with a successor appointed, or other official transfer of power), this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately (first-truth resolution).
- If by the end of the Market Period the PDS indicates he still holds all three roles and no effective cessation occurred within the period, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary acting arrangements, medical leaves, delegations of authority, or announcements of future resignation effective after 2026 do not count.
