Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:13 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 61.1%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 21, 23, 2:55 PM UTCMar 1, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if Xi Jinping is the leader of China on December 31st 2028.
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