What are the current odds for Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2029??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 55% as of October 27, 2026.

Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2029?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 1:21 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 55%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Dec 22, 23, 2:07 PM UTCMar 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves as YES if Xi Jinping is the leader of China on December 31st 2029.