Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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December 31 12%Leader of 3 outcomes
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December 31Spread
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138
7d Change
-1.2 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 9:38 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, Russia formally announces either:
- (i) a new compulsory military mobilization under the existing September 2022 mobilization framework, or an expansion of the categories of citizen to which that framework applies; or
- (ii) the establishment or authorization of a new compulsory military mobilization outside the September 2022 mobilization framework.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying announcement must communicate such a mobilization as a new policy of the Russian State.
- A formal legal act (e.g., an executive decree) that establishes or authorizes a qualifying mobilization, or expands the categories of citizens subject to one, will qualify as an announcement.