PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Ursula von der Leyen · —
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Stored reference
Ursula von der Leyen 58%Leader of 16 outcomes
Ursula von der Leyen 58%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$41.7K
Liquidity
$81.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$7.6K
Bid / Ask
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Ursula von der LeyenSpread
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Comments
7
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 11:09 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Andy BurnhamWon
António CostaWon
Donald TuskWon
Friedrich MerzWon
Jared KushnerWon
Keith KelloggWon
Maia SanduWon
Steve WitkoffWon
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Ursula von der Leyen
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine.
- Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.