Will Russia invade another country by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
2027 · —
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Stored reference
2027 19%
2027 19%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.3K
Liquidity
$96.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$276.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2027Spread
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Comments
13
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jan 19, 26, 8:34 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 2027
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.