Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 55.9%
Yes 55.9%Forecasters
63
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 11, 24, 7:40 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Criteria for Resolution:
- Definition of "New Country":
- - A "new country" refers to any country that is not being invaded and/or at least partially occupied by Russia or its proxies as of June 11, 2024.
- This excludes Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia.
- Syria is also included for the sake of consistency, while there may be ambiguity on the correspondence of its case to the formal definitions given in this description.
- Definition of Invasion: