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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

0.3% (24h)One-OffPoliticsCrime & Justice6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 10%
Market quality

100 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$6.4K

Liquidity

$75.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

10.4% / 10.5%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
7d Change

-3.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 5:57 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes10%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.