PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94%+0.3pt
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.3
Liquidity
$27.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.1% / 7.2%
Spread
2.1 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:33 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 94% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? resolve?
- Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.