PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91%-0.1pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$54.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.1% / 10.4%
Spread
2.3 pt
Moderate spreadComments
12
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 24, 26, 10:11 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by which date?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PolymarketWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiSouth Korea Annual Inflation 2026
LimitlessWill South Korea become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? resolve?
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.