Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken · —
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Stored reference
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 58.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 58.4%Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$56.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$631
Bid / Ask
— / —
Dem sweep; Ceasefire brokenSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 1:07 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether the United States refrains from a qualifying military action against Iran through the end of 2027.
- Options beginning "Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party to win control of both chambers.
- Options beginning "No Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party not to win control of at least one of the two chambers.
- Each option then names the result of the second component ("Ceasefire holds" or "Ceasefire broken"), as defined below.
- The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No".
- US-Iran ceasefire: This component is "Ceasefire broken" if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time.
