Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Dem sweep; No Phase II · —
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Stored reference
Dem sweep; No Phase II 59.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Dem sweep; No Phase II 59.4%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$29
Liquidity
$52.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$29
Bid / Ask
— / —
Dem sweep; No Phase IISpread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 12:48 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · Dem sweep; No Phase II
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether Israel and Hamas reach an agreement on the second phase of their ceasefire by the end of 2027.
- Options beginning "Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party to win control of both chambers.
- Options beginning "No Dem sweep" require the Democratic Party not to win control of at least one of the two chambers.
- Each option then names the result of the second component ("Phase II deal" or "No Phase II"), as defined below.
- The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No".
- Gaza ceasefire Phase II: On October 8, 2025, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
