Will the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin?
One-OffGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 60%
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27
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 12, 22, 12:45 PM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
"Bald-hairy" is a common joke in Russian political discourse, referring to the empirical rule of the state leaders' succession defined as a change of a bald or balding leader to a hairy one and vice versa.
- This consistent pattern can be traced back to as early as 1825 (Wikipedia).
- The question refers to any de facto ruler of Russia.
- If after Putin Russia no longer exists as one country but at least one of states on its today's internationally recognized territory has the word "Russia" in its name and has a hairy leader, I will resolve YES.
- Close date updated to 2040-01-01 3:59 am