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  • Home
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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East
  3. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

1.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
July 31
July 31 12%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$3.1K

Liquidity

$86.7K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 5.0%

Spread

25.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-2.5%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Apr 16, 26, 11:56 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
April 30
April 30
0%
May 31
May 31
0%

Selected outcome

July 3112%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue.
  • However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
  • The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$61,999.77+1.15%EthereumETH$1,633.32+0.58%SolanaSOL$64.39+0.09%DogecoinDOGE$0.0838-0.08%XRPXRP$1.11-0.96%BNBBNB$590.75+0.61%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue.
  • However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
  • The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.