PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$343.1
Low liquidityOpen interest
$296.9
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingApr 20, 26, 9:32 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketWill nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
KalshiWill Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.