PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 4 97%+0.6ptLeader of 30 outcomes
October 4 97%+0.6ptMarket quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$68.4K
Liquidity
$65.9K
High liquiditySpread
39.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 5:12 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel military action against Syria by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Jerusalem time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
