Current community forecast
Yes 52.9%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Mar 16, 26, 9:32 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the European AI Office or an EU member state authority publicly announces a formal enforcement action under the EU AI Act (Regulation 2024/1689) against a provider of a General-Purpose AI (GPAI) model with systemic risk (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Meta, Mistral, xAI).
- Qualifying "formal enforcement actions" must be publicly announced and include any of the following:
- A formal investigation
- A formal Request for Information (RFI)
- A notice of non-compliance or fine
- A binding order to withdraw, modify, or correct an AI system