Current implied probability
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 95%+0.1ptLeader of 46 outcomes
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$473.2K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
93
7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 10:25 PM UTCApr 17, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
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PolymarketWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
Manifold MarketsLe Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
PolymarketRules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place.
- If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.