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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection10mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 93%
Leader of 46 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$3.4K

Liquidity

$403.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 19.0%

Spread

11.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

-6.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Apr 22, 26, 10:32 PMApr 17, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Jean-Luc Mélenchon93%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place.
  • If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

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Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place.
  • If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.