PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
November 30 · —
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Stored reference
November 30 31%Leader of 5 outcomes
November 30 31%Market quality
14 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$80
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$4.3K
Bid / Ask
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November 30Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 26, 11:10 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
September 15Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Syria by the specified date, 11:59 PM Syria Standard Time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Syria.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.