PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
November 30 · —
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Stored reference
November 30 No observed price
November 30 No observed priceMarket quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$909.1
Liquidity
$17.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$11.6K
Bid / Ask
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November 30Spread
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Comments
11
7d Change
-4.2 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 8, 26, 10:21 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
July 14Lost
July 21Lost
July 31Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Iraq by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketWill both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsWill a P5 nation veto a 2026 UNSCR about US military action in Venezuela or its vessels?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Greater Beirut by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Greater Beirut.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.