Will a P5 nation veto a 2026 UNSCR about US military action in Venezuela or its vessels?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 68.6%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJan 3, 26, 7:08 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Yes if a resolution fitting that description (likely about 2025-2026 activity) would pass but is vetoed by any delegates representing US, UK, China, France, or Russia.
- Resolution must be meaningfully "about" US attacks on Venezuela or Venezuelan ships, not merely mentioning them.
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market opened with a slight bias to YES due to the precedent of the veto of S/21048 on the US invasion of Panama.
