PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 16%
October 31 16%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$393
Liquidity
$434.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
16.1% / 33.3%
Spread
17.2 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 8:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest level of U.S. military action against Cuba by the end of January 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Iraq by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Israel.
