PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10%-0.7%Leader of 71 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$65.6K
Liquidity
$2.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 1.1%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 16, 25, 10:33 PMOct 10, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Volodymyr Zelenskyy10%
Also available on Kalshi
2026 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
1.0%6mo
+1.0%8%
12%
8%
+17 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$6K
24h Vol$84.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
- If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner.
- If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence.
- If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual.
- If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
- If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
- If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner.
- If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence.
- If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual.
- If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
- If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."