PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Navi Pillay
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 12:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Navi Pillay
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Ahmed al-Sharaa1%
António Guterres0%
Benjamin Netanyahu0%
Charlie Kirk0%
Donald Trump2%
Elon Musk1%
Greta Thunberg2%
International Court of Justice6%
Julian Assange1%
Khaled Mashal1%
Mohammed bin Salman1%
Narendra Modi1%
Pope Leo XIV3%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan1%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani2%
UNRWA5%
Vladimir Putin1%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy5%
Xi Jinping1%
Yulia Navalnaya6%
Chow Hang-tung1%
Save the Children8%
World Central Kitchen1%
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms13%
Sara Al-Saqqa4%
Committee to Protect Journalists4%
Reporters Without Borders3%
Mark Carney50%
Mykola Kuleba10%
ICRC2%
Doctors Without Borders5%
International Association of Judges5%
International Criminal Court15%
International Peace Research Association5%
Yad Vashem5%
UNHCR4%
Ilham Tohti7%
Jimmy Lai2%
Other100%
Navi PillayWon
Ahmed al-SharaaLost
António GuterresLost
Benjamin NetanyahuLost
Charlie KirkLost
Chow Hang-tungLost
Committee to Protect JournalistsLost
Doctors Without BordersLost
Donald TrumpLost
Elon MuskLost
Greta ThunbergLost
Hussam Abu SafiyaLost
ICRCLost
Ilham TohtiLost
International Association of JudgesLost
International Court of JusticeLost
International Criminal CourtLost
International Peace Research AssociationLost
International Space StationLost
Jimmy LaiLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
- If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner.
- If the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, or the named outcome are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence.
- If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual.
- If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
- If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
