Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
0.1 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine30d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yulia Navalnaya 8%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6K
Liquidity
$1.6M
High liquiditySpread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
204
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 16, 25, 10:30 PM UTCOct 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold Markets🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Palestine conflict?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
- If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner.
- If the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, or the named outcome are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence.
- If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual.
- If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
- If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner · Save the Children 14%
