Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastUSA 🇺🇸 20.3%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 27, 26, 1:05 PMJun 27, 27, 1:03 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
USA 🇺🇸20%
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the category containing the country visited by the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on their first official overseas trip after taking office.
- The "next Prime Minister" is defined as the person appointed by the Monarch to succeed Keir Starmer.
- ❗️An "official overseas trip" is defined as travel outside the United Kingdom for official government business strictly set to bilateral meetings and state visits.❗️
- ‼️International summits such as NATO, G7, UN or any other EU-related meetings DO NOT COUNT‼️
- Crown Dependencies (Isle of Man, Jersey, Guernsey) and British Overseas Territories (e.g., Gibraltar, Akrotiri and Dhekelia) do not count as foreign sovereign states.