Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?
One-OffPoliticsGeopoliticsEurope2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 24, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 87.2%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleAug 21, 23, 8:23 AMOct 1, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes13%
Volume trend
$10Jul 232d of dataJul 24
Related Markets
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$157.2KUnited Russia (ER): 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
$855.4Yes: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Ireland give up its neutrality before 2027?
$500Yes: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSFirst overseas visit of the next UK PM?
$245.5USA 🇺🇸: 5.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
$230.9No HR in 2026: 58%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
$0Italy: 4%
KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.