Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.3%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 2, 23, 9:04 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
market will resolve jan 1, 2030. "becoming a citizen" is defined as passing whatever citizenship test the country in question has, OR a country's lawmakers deciding that one or more AIs is human enough to be granted citizen status after being assembled/programmed in that country, much like how a baby born there is granted citizen status.