Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Apr 1, 23, 10:46 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold Marketswill any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Canada gain EU associate status?
KalshiWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
