Current implied probability
December 31, 21%-1.0%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$525.6
Liquidity
$14.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
20.0% / 22.0%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-4.5%
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Dec 3, 25, 12:09 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 31,21%
Volume trend
$526Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.