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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
December 31,
December 31, 32%-3.0%
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.2K

Liquidity

$28.2K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.6% / 4.6%

Spread

27.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

+1.1%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Dec 3, 25, 12:18 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

December 31,32%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.