Current implied probability
Yes 69%
Yes 69%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityTraders
8
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether Pedro Sánchez will remain in office as Prime Minister of Spain through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Spanish government announcements or records confirming the prime ministership.
- If Pedro Sánchez officially remains Prime Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he is formally replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official replacement, regardless of caretaker periods.
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Spanish or international news organizations.
