Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?
PoliticsOne-OffEuropeCrime & Justice3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.8%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingApr 5, 23, 5:46 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The Spanish region of Catalonia has held two referenda on independence, one in 2014 and another in 2017.
- The latter caused a constitutional crisis in which Catalan leaders were arrested and the region was placed under "direct rule" for six months.
- Will Catalonia hold another referendum on independence before the end of the decade?
