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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsEuropeGeopolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%-0.0%
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$4.5K

Liquidity

$39.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jul 24, 25, 11:47 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$65,463.83-1.39%EthereumETH$1,783.69+0.48%SolanaSOL$73.08-2.06%DogecoinDOGE$0.0868-0.95%XRPXRP$1.21-2.22%BNBBNB$606.10-1.54%

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.