Current implied probability
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5%Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$131.2
Liquidity
$18.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
60.0% / 65.0%
Spread
8.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 10:32 PMApr 23, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Jean-Luc Mélenchon99%
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.