Selected book midpoint
François Hollande · —
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Stored reference
François Hollande 60%Leader of 21 outcomes
François Hollande 60%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$959
Liquidity
$145.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
François HollandeSpread
—
Comments
22
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 10:25 PM UTCApr 18, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Gabriel AttalWon
Jean-Luc MélenchonWon
Marine Le PenWon
Olivier FaureWon
Raphaël GlucksmannWon
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · François Hollande
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.