Current implied probability
Éric Zemmour 100%+14.4ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
$116K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
22
7d Change
+22.9 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 10:25 PM UTCApr 23, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
KalshiWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.