PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 6:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
November 10 · —
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Stored reference
November 10 16%Leader of 29 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
November 10 16%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$32.4K
Liquidity
$35K
High liquidityOpen interest
$13.6K
Bid / Ask
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November 10Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 3, 26, 4:54 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · November 10
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
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Manifold MarketsOpenAI GPT Astra 6.1+ released by ?
FutuurWill Astra 6.1+ be released this week (by November 8, 2026)?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
