Current implied probability
Karen Bass 62.4%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$219.9K
High liquiditySpread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
162
7d Change
+6.6 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 9, 25, 8:38 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
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PolymarketRules
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Los Angeles Mayoral Election · Karen Bass 61%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
- Polymarket prices Karen Bass at 62% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Los Angeles Mayoral Election resolve?
- Los Angeles Mayoral Election is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Los Angeles Mayoral Election settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- Where else is Los Angeles Mayoral Election listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets.