KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 1.0M · —
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Stored price
Above 1.25M 50%Market line of 10 lines
Above 1.25M 50%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$13.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 1.0MSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 8:57 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 1.0M
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
KalshiWhat will be the margin in the Los Angeles mayoral general election?
PredictItWho will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsToronto mayoral election winner?
KalshiTaipei mayoral election winner?
KalshiRules
If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1250000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:City of Los Angeles
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1.0M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1000000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.25M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1250000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.45M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1450000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.05M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1050000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.1M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1100000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.15M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1150000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.2M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1200000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.3M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1300000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.35M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1350000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.4M
- If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 1400000, then the market resolves to Yes.
