What will be the margin in the Los Angeles mayoral general election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
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Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Nithya Raman, ≥ 20% 0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Nithya Raman, ≥ 20% 0%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
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Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 20, 26, 5:04 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
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Rules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the difference between the percentages of votes in favor of the first and second place candidates, based on all valid votes officially reported, in the November general election for the 2026 election for the Mayor of Los Angeles, California.
Percentages of the popular vote shall be determined by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total of votes for all ballot-listed candidates, as well as write-ins officially reported.
Percentages of the popular vote shall be determined by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total of votes for all ballot-listed candidates, as well as write-ins officially reported.
- The difference between candidates will be calculated from unrounded percentages.
Should the result fall precisely on the threshold between two contracts, this market will resolve to the contract with the higher numerical range.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
