KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Olivia Chow 82.7%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$9.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.8 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Dec 16, 25, 3:00 PM UTCOct 26, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will come in second in the Toronto mayoral election
Manifold MarketsClarence mayoral election winner?
KalshiLaunceston mayoral election winner?
KalshiMilton, Ontario mayoral election winner?
KalshiWho will win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsLA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
PolymarketRules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Toronto City Clerk
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Toronto Mayoral Election Winner · Olivia Chow 88%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026? · Olivia Chow 76%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Toronto mayoral election winner??
- Kalshi prices Olivia Chow at 83% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Toronto mayoral election winner? resolve?
- Toronto mayoral election winner? is scheduled to resolve on October 26, 2027.
- How is Toronto mayoral election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Toronto mayoral election winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Manifold Markets.