KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityOlivia Chow 73.1%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
76.0% / 80.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Dec 16, 25, 3:00 PMOct 26, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Olivia Chow76%
Compare venues· Olivia Chow
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
3mo
+0.8pt68.1%
-0.7pt27%
-0.1pt2.4%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Polymarket
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
3mo
78%
19%
+0.3pt1%
+33 more outcomes
62 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$111.9K
24h Vol$2.4
POLYMARKETRules
If Olivia Chow wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brad Bradford wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Furey wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 916d of dataJul 27
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If Olivia Chow wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brad Bradford wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Furey wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.