Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 30, 2026, 4:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecast
Olivia Chow 68.1%+0.8ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJul 14, 25, 4:42 AMOct 27, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Olivia Chow68%
Compare venues· Olivia Chow
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Toronto mayoral election winner?
4.0 pts1y
-4.0pt73.1%
19.2%
3.9%
+1 more outcomes
53 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$15.1K
24h Vol$5
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
3mo
78%
19%
1%
+33 more outcomes
63 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$111.9K
24h Vol$2.4
POLYMARKETRules
Canada's largest city, Toronto, will hold a mayoral election on 26 October 2026.
- The current mayor, Olivia Chow, is reportedly going to seek a second term as mayor (CBC).
- This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins Toronto's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
- Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
- Feel free to add answers.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-olivia-chow-be-reelected-mayor)
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$1.2MKamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$1MRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$612.1KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$545.1KGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
$361.1KTulsi Gabbard: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$206.7KJay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRules
Canada's largest city, Toronto, will hold a mayoral election on 26 October 2026.
- The current mayor, Olivia Chow, is reportedly going to seek a second term as mayor (CBC).
- This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins Toronto's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
- Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
- Feel free to add answers.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-olivia-chow-be-reelected-mayor)