Current community forecast
Olivia Chow 75.7%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJul 14, 25, 4:42 AM UTCOct 27, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Olivia Chow be re-elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
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PolymarketRules
Canada's largest city, Toronto, will hold a mayoral election on 26 October 2026.
- The current mayor, the named outcome, is reportedly going to seek a second term as mayor (CBC).
- This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins Toronto's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
- Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
- Feel free to add answers.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-olivia-chow-be-reelected-mayor)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Toronto Mayoral Election Winner · Olivia Chow 88%
- Also available on Kalshi — Toronto mayoral election winner? · Olivia Chow 83%
Open markets
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
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+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
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- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Olivia Chow at 76% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026? resolve?
- Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.
- How is Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Canada's largest city, Toronto, will hold a mayoral election on 26 October 2026.
- Where else is Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.