Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast
Karen Bass 62.4%+0.1%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
162
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJul 14, 25, 4:30 AMNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Karen Bass62%
Compare venues· Karen Bass
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
10mo
+1.0%62%
38%
0%
+7 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$87.2M
24h Vol$118.2K
KALSHI
Also available on PredictIt
Who will be elected Los Angeles mayor in 2026?
1y
60%
37%
3%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority.
- The current mayor, Karen Bass, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times).
- This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
- Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
- Feel free to add answers.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.9k39.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — No24h ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — No24h ago$1.0k39.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — No24h ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — No24h ago$1.0k39.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — No24h ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — No24h ago$2.3k38.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday
KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday$1.9k38.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday
KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday$6.4k63.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago$1.6k63.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago$1.8k63.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes6d ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes6d agoVolume trend
$1Jul 811d of dataJul 20
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Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority.
- The current mayor, Karen Bass, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times).
- This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
- Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
- Feel free to add answers.