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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?

PoliticsOne-OffElectionAI4mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Karen Bass 63%
Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters

156

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jul 14, 25, 4:30 AMNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Rick Caruso
0%
Manifold Markets
Asaad Alnajjar
0%
Manifold Markets
Vincent Wali
0%

Selected outcome

Karen Bass63%

Rules

Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority.

Manifold Markets
  • The current mayor, Karen Bass, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times).
  • This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
  • Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
  • Feel free to add answers.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority.

Manifold Markets
  • The current mayor, Karen Bass, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times).
  • This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
  • Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
  • Feel free to add answers.