Current community forecast
Nithya Raman 52.9%+0.4ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
174
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJul 14, 25, 4:30 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Olivia Chow be re-elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Muriel Bowser be re-elected mayor of Washington, DC in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected mayor of NYC in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsRules
Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority.
- The current mayor, the named outcome, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times).
- This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.
- Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
- Feel free to add answers.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Los Angeles Mayor winner? · Nithya Raman 56%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will be elected Los Angeles mayor in 2026? · Nithya Raman 55%
