Current community forecast
Gabriel Attal 4.1%Leader of 17 outcomes
Forecasters
71
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 24, 7:34 PMJun 6, 27, 9:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Gabriel Attal4%
Compare venues· Marine le Pen
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall70% match · linked | High | 27% | — | $412.1K | $12.9M | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 Kalshi92% match · verified | High | 32% | — | $9.7K | $111.1K | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless68% match · linked | Low | 15% | — | $0 | $0 | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 28% | — | — | — | 5 hours ago | |
| Manifold Markets78% match · linked | — | 27% | — | — | — | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets88% match · linked | — | 28% | — | — | — | 17 hours ago | Open → |
 PredictIt87% match · verified | — | 22% | — | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Next French presidential election winner?
1.0%1y
-1.0%32%
+0.4%10%
+3.4%11%
+25 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$212.2K
24h Vol$9.7K
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
10mo
-0.5%27.6%
+0.3%24.5%
+2.8%9.4%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast37 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on PredictIt
Who will win the next French presidential election?
27%
22%
20%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the next president of France?
1y
-0.7%27%
3.3%
0.6%
+33 more outcomes
Community forecast153 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
Next French Presidential Election
2.3%9mo
+2.3%27%
27%
-1.0%12%
+125 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$110.6M
24h Vol$412.1K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Limitless
Next French Presidential Election
1y
50%
15.1%
50%
+3 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.6K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
Update 2026-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a French presidential election occurs in 2026 and there is no election in 2027, this market will resolve based on the 2026 election results.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$104Jul 82d of dataJul 9
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Update 2026-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a French presidential election occurs in 2026 and there is no election in 2027, this market will resolve based on the 2026 election results.