Current implied probability
Marine Le Pen 54%Leader of 9 outcomes
Marine Le Pen 54%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
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24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 29, 26, 3:34 PM UTCMar 31, 31, 4:00 AM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the first French presidential election that is held subsequent to the launch of this market on April 29, 2026.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 46%
- Also available on Kalshi — Next French presidential election winner? · Marine Le Pen 45%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the next president of France? · Marine Le Pen 47%
- Also available on Polymarket — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 46%