Current implied probability
Other 50%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 21, 26, 6:14 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round.
- If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Marine Le Pen 32% · 4 venues · 5 pt band
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ? · Marine Le Pen 26%
- Also available on Polymarket — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 32%
- Also available on Kalshi — Next French presidential election winner? · Marine Le Pen 37%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the next French presidential election? · Marine Le Pen 44%
Open markets
Politics
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 more outcomes
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.5%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next French Presidential Election?
- Limitless prices Other at 50% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Next French Presidential Election resolve?
- Next French Presidential Election is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Next French Presidential Election settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other. <p>The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- Where else is Next French Presidential Election listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt.