KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Marine Le Pen · —
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Stored price
Marine Le Pen 83%Leader of 13 outcomes
Marine Le Pen 83%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$12.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Marine Le PenSpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:00 PM UTCApr 17, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Marine Le Pen
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketNext French presidential election winner?
KalshiNext French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
KalshiWill anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?
KalshiWill the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Conseil constitutionnel
- If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
Rules for each outcome
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bernard Cazeneuve
- If Bernard Cazeneuve is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sébastien Lecornu
- If Sébastien Lecornu is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Élisabeth Borne
- If Élisabeth Borne is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Olivier Faure
- If Olivier Faure is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.