Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAlexi Giannoulias 28.1%-4.5ptLeader of 34 outcomes
Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Nov 9, 24, 4:19 AMJan 1, 28, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Brandon Johnson11%
Compare venues· Alexi Giannoulias
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall90% match · verified | Low | 47% | — | $35 | $16.7K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 28% | — | — | — | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
18.0 pts1y
47%
11%
7%
+4 more outcomes
36 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$39.6K
24h Vol$35
KALSHIRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2027_Chicago_mayoral_election
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2027_Chicago_mayoral_election