KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAlexi Giannoulias 47%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$35
Liquidity
$16.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 19.0%
Spread
16.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 9, 25, 2:00 PMFeb 23, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Rahm Emanuel3%
Compare venues· Alexi Giannoulias
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 47% | — | $35 | $16.7K | 20 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets90% match · verified | — | 28% | — | — | — | 1 hour ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
1y
-4.5pt28.1%
+1.4pt11%
+1.0pt10.5%
+31 more outcomes
Community forecast20 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Brandon Johnson wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rahm Emanuel wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kam Buckner wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Joe Holberg wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Paul Vallas wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Pappas wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$35Jul 311d of dataJul 27
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If Brandon Johnson wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rahm Emanuel wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kam Buckner wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Joe Holberg wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Paul Vallas wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Pappas wins Chicago Mayoral Election in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.