LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & JusticeElection
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 80%+0.1pt
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$476.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 38.8%
Spread
37.8 pt
Wide spreadComments
2
7d Change
+9.4 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court.
- Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count.
- A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election.
- Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count.
