Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastAt least 38% 86%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+36.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 24, 26, 10:19 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
GA-13 House election: Jonathan Chavez vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiAlaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiAlaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the Alaska general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastEx2026 Alaska Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Alaska Governor margin of victory
Manifold MarketsRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/vote-percentages-in-us-general-elections/kxvotegeneral-govak-26jkre
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
